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Models  /  Commercial Real Estate Development Pro Forma
Real Estate

Commercial Real Estate Development Pro Forma

Is the project worth building, and how should it be financed?

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  • One-time purchase, immediate download
  • Institutional-quality model built in Excel (.xlsx)
  • Built from real private equity, real estate and M&A modeling

Model highlights

What it does

A development model for ground-up and value-add commercial projects. It follows the project from land and hard costs through construction, lease-up and stabilization to sale or refinance, and shows what the deal returns to the equity.

DevelopersTest a site before you commit capital.
InvestorsPressure-test a sponsor's numbers.
ConsultantsDeliver a credible pro forma to clients.
LendersSee debt coverage at a glance.

What's included

Inside the model

  • Sources & uses with construction budget and contingency
  • Construction draw schedule and interest reserve
  • Lease-up, rent roll and stabilized NOI
  • Construction and permanent loan sizing
  • Exit valuation by cap rate
  • Levered and unlevered IRR, equity multiple and DSCR
  • One assumptions sheet that drives the whole model
  • Built-in error checks
  • Step-by-step guide and sample data

Key metric

Yield on cost

Yield on cost is the stabilized net operating income (NOI) divided by the total project cost. It is the return the finished property earns on everything it took to build, before financing. For many institutional LP investors it is the first number they check to decide whether a development deal is worth a closer look.

Compare it with the cap rate buyers pay for similar stabilized properties. The gap, called the development spread, is the value you create by building instead of buying. Developers typically want yield on cost at least 1.0 to 1.5 percentage points above the market cap rate to justify construction and lease-up risk.

In a Qualified Opportunity Zone the after-tax picture improves further: investors can defer the capital gains they roll in, and gains on the new investment can be tax-free if it is held at least 10 years. Yield on cost still has to work on its own; the tax benefit is upside, not the reason to do the deal.

Yield on cost = Stabilized NOI ÷ Total project cost

Actual Phoenix OZ deal

Total project cost
$74.3M
Yield on cost
6.57%
Stabilized NOI
≈ $4.9M a year
Value at a 5.25% market cap (2021)
≈ $93M, about $19M above cost

The project was underwritten in 2021, when comparable cap rates were in the low 5s. Use current comparable sales for your own project.

Questions

Frequently asked

Something else? Email hello@quigleycapital.com.

Do I need advanced Excel skills?

No. If you can type numbers into a spreadsheet, you can use the model. Inputs are clearly marked and the guide walks you through each step.

What do I receive?

An Excel (.xlsx) file plus a short guide, delivered as a download after purchase.

Can you customize it for my business?

Yes. We build custom versions and fully custom models. Email us with what you need.

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DisclaimerQuigley Capital does not provide financial, investment, legal, or tax advice. All templates, calculators, and content are for informational and educational purposes only. Outputs should be independently verified before use in any real-world decision.